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Showdown with Iraq
and North Korea
By Carol Devine-Molin
web
posted January 13, 2003
Iraq and North Korea are now at the forefront of our foreign policy and
national security concerns.
Throughout the past week on the various cable news channels, Left-leaning
pundits have invariably charged that President Bush has applied a "double-standard"
regarding the differential manner in which the nations of Iraq and North
Korea are being treated. Sure, both nations have incipient nuclear programs,
and to be fair, North Korea probably has already squirreled away a few
nukes while Iraq is at a lesser stage of super-bomb development as it
diligently seeks to procure fissile materials. Yet, Iraq is subjected
to an American-led military action and "regime change", while
North Korea must only contend with a diplomatic initiative at this juncture.
Well, why the contrasting approaches? The extremely dangerous nature of
Saddam Hussein is at the heart of it.

Jong Il |
Despite the fact that North Korea is already in possession of various
weapons of mass destruction (biological, chemical, nuclear), its leader
has wisely eschewed utilizing them. Sure, the current leadership under
Kim Jong Il is given to extorting and extracting inducements from the
US in exchange for halting its "nuclear ambitions". And Kim
Jong Il acknowledged North Korea's secret nuclear weapons program and
expelled the monitors from the International Atomic Energy Agency, in
violation of North Korea's 1994 agreement with the US.
But despotic North Korea, although highly vocal or "mouthy",
and given to saber rattling and demands, has ultimately responded to the
pillars of containment and deterrence throughout the years. North Korea
is really no more than a bankrupt Stalinist regime that is dependent upon
the oil and humanitarian food supplies of the US and other nations. And
its "godfather" China provides quite a bit of North Korea's
weapons technology, which unfortunately represents its only significant
source of income and bargaining power within the international community.
According to William Choong of The Straits Times of Singapore,
the US is developing options to effectively deal with North Korea: 1)
Intercept its arms exports to cut off foreign revenues, 2) Boost economic
sanctions against Pyongyang, and 3) Move ahead with missile defense for
the region. As to the latter, many American commentators have already
advocated arming both Japan and South Korea with nuclear weaponry, which
would surely gall China and North Korea. Moreover, the imposition of sanctions
is intended to cause North Korea's all-important monies from arms sales
to quickly dissipate. Kim Jong Il may very well come to regret tipping
the applecart, or in this particular case, discombobulating the status
quo.
That said, the Korean peninsula, with the exception of an occasional
problematic episode, has been more-or-less stable since the time of the
Korean War. Therefore, implementation of a more cogent approach, now known
as the "Bush Doctrine" of preemptive strikes, probably won't
be necessary in North Korea -- at least not at this time. In terms of
the current pot-au-feu, the US is naturally receptive to working through
diplomatic solutions with North Korea since this method has proven somewhat
effective for over fifty years. However, it would be fair to say that
stringent sanctions against North Korea would inevitably become part of
the mix if it does not immediately reverse course and dump its nuclear
program. Reportedly, Japan, South Korea, Russia and China are now acting
as intermediaries in discussions with Kim Jong Il. Loose talk among media
types regarding possible bombing strikes against North Korean nuclear
facilities seems awfully far-fetched. In view of the overarching circumstances
and America's concerted endeavor to avoid military confrontation throughout
the decades, a deal with North Korea will certainly be struck, in my humble
opinion.

Hussein (C) meet's with his son Qusay(R), supervisor
of the Republican Guard, in Baghdad on January 6 |
However, Saddam Hussein wanton megalomania and his perverse character
are key to understanding America's current response to the Iraqi regime.
Unlike other despots, Saddam Hussein is unique in that he has already
inflicted catastrophic attacks, specifically chemical warfare strikes,
against both his own people the Kurds, and his neighbors, the Iranians,
during the Iran-Iraq War of the 1980's. Saddam's reckless aggression is
legionary as he invaded Kuwait, launched scud missiles at Israel, and
was poised to grab the oil-rich nation of Saudi Arabia during the run-up
to the Gulf War of 1991.
Saddam is undeniably a full-fledged psychopath who poses an imminent
threat to both his neighbors and his enemies, most notably Israel and
America. And I underscore the term "psychopath", which denotes
an individual without conscience. Saddam is not "psychotic",
indicative of an individual who is significantly out-of-touch with reality.
Given Saddam's considerable propensity to utilize weapons of mass destruction,
it's felt that he would have no qualms about setting off a nuclear bomb,
most probably through a surrogate terrorist organization. This tyrant
represents a profound peril and must be removed from power, one way or
another.
And I would not discount the possibility that Saddam Hussein will ultimately
choose exile over annihilation at the very last moment. Reportedly, Russia
and a few Arab nations are attempting to convince Saddam to leave Iraq
with his sons and his entourage for safe haven in Russia or Libya, in
order to avert a war that would surely result in his demise and the deaths
of others. Psychopaths are not martyrs they very much want to live.
So up until the last nanosecond before war ensues, Saddam should be offered
an escape hatch. However, if Saddam is facing certain death, with his
back up against the wall, I don't think there's any question that he would
enact scorched-earth vengeance with chemical or biological warfare.
Carol Devine-Molin is a regular contributor to several online magazines.

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